‘India will make Pak pay a heavy price if it carries on with ceasefire violations’
The suspension of Article 370 has created a decision dilemma in Pakistan, says Lt Gen (Retd.) Vinod Bhatia in an exclusive interview
If our “mischievous” neighbor in the West continues to violate the ceasefire agreement this year, it will have to pay a heavy price, said Lieutenant General Vinod Bhatia, keeping in mind the Indian army’s retaliation strategy and the public sentiment along the Line of Control.
During 2020, Pakistan indulged in the highest number of ceasefire violations in 18 years. Asked whether it will continue to violate the ceasefire, Lt. Gen. Bhatia said in an exclusive interview with India News Network.
“Yes, Pakistan will continue with the ceasefire violations, internationalize Kashmir, and create violence in Kashmir in 2021.” However, he added that it will have to pay a heavy price for it this year.
There were 5,100 instances of ceasefire violation by Pakistan along the LOC in 2020 in Jammu and Kashmir, the highest in nearly 18 years that claimed 36 lives and left more than 130 people injured. This was a big jump from 3289 ceasefire violations in 2019.
Pakistan wants to keep waging a proxy war
Explaining the reason behind this major change, Lt Gen Bhatia said, “Pakistan wants to internationalize Kashmir. It wants to keep waging a proxy war. So, what India has done is that they have a very effective counter-infiltration grid and a very effective terrorism grid. Pakistan’s interest is to raise the violence levels and for that, it needs to keep a certain amount of terrorists infiltrated, and the weapons ready, and all. While I would add that infiltration attempts made were many but they were majorly unsuccessful so that has given motivation to Pakistan to raise the numbers of ceasefire violations in 2020.”
On August 5, 2019, Article 370 was revoked leading to the change in the status of J&K to Union Territory. Lt Gen Bhatia said after the revocation of Article 370, there was a downward trend in violence and the silent majority in Kashmir has started supporting the anti-terrorist movement out there.
“So, that is a very major change in the dynamics of Kashmir and the violence level of Kashmir which is not in the interest of Pakistan as Pakistan wants to internationalize the situation,” he said, noting that of the total ceasefire violations in 2019, the majority were after the revocation of Article 370 in August of that year.
“The suspension of Article 370 has created a decision dilemma in Pakistan. The relevance of the Pakistan army is based on an anti-India stance. Pakistan's army rules Pakistan by proxy. It’s a very smart move they have done. If you look at the Chief of Army Staff now General Bajwa, he has fully taken a three-year extension. Otherwise, his tenure would have ended in November last year. He has given himself an extension rather. So, the Pakistan army’s interest is in making LOC hot but not very hot,” he added.
People bear the brunt of Pak’s ceasefire violations
While political tension between two countries always ignites tension at the border, we cannot ignore the common people who reside near the border. They are the ones who face the brunt of the ceasefire violations. The number of people getting fired because of the ceasefire violation by Pakistan has increased in 2020.
Asked about the situation, Lt. Gen Bhatia said, “It is sad that our people who are residing near the border become the victims of the firing. So, when Pakistan says that we are for the Kashmiri people, that’s where they go wrong and the Kashmiris have to understand that if Pakistan is for the Kashmiri people, why they would target the civilian population which they do. So, the Kashmiri people have to understand the motives of the Pakistani army. Pakistan plays a major role in increasing the violence level across the LOC but hurting civil population is very bad.”
However, he said that the Indian army remains there for the security of the people, and knows how to rough it out.
While it is not yet possible to keep Pakistan out of the minds of the Kashmiri people because of the brainwashing, Lt Gen Bhatia said that some of the Kashmiris now understand the motive of Pakistan. The youth is engaging in anti-terrorism movements and soon they would all understand what Pakistan wants, he said.
Asked whether the situation across the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in 2020 because of the Galwan Valley incident is related to the increase in the number of ceasefire violations by Pakistan, Lt Gen Bhatia said, “Yes, Pakistan thought Galwan Valley was an opportunity to increase the number of ceasefires because India was preoccupied at the LAC.”
Over the past several months, Pakistan has been raising the bogey of False flag operations by India. Commenting on the same, Lt. Gen Bhatia said, “Pakistan believes in lies, deceit, and deception. Their operational policy runs on lies, deceit, and deception. That’s what they do. Pakistan is under tremendous pressure by the FATF for being the epicenter of terrorism so it has to say that these are false flag operations. Even they called Pulwama a false flag operation. Who gained from it? The Pak army! It is just part of their lies, deceit, and deception.”